Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 54.03%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 23.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.34%) and 0-2 (8.64%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Twente |
23.23% ( 2.1) | 22.73% ( 1.44) | 54.03% ( -3.54) |
Both teams to score 57.21% ( -2.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.35% ( -4.06) | 42.65% ( 4.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.95% ( -4.17) | 65.05% ( 4.17) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.9% ( -0.39) | 32.1% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.42% ( -0.45) | 68.58% ( 0.45) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.26% ( -2.51) | 15.74% ( 2.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.16% ( -4.85) | 44.84% ( 4.86) |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Twente |
2-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.43) 1-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.92) 2-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.5) 3-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.18) Other @ 2.57% Total : 23.23% | 1-1 @ 10.61% ( 0.87) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.86) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.73% | 1-2 @ 9.81% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.86) 0-2 @ 8.64% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 6.05% ( -0.6) 0-3 @ 5.32% ( -0.46) 2-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.38) 1-4 @ 2.8% ( -0.57) 0-4 @ 2.46% ( -0.47) 2-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.34) 1-5 @ 1.03% ( -0.33) 0-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.27) Other @ 2.64% Total : 54.03% |
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