SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 57.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 21.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.68%) and 0-2 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 2-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
21.36% ( -1.18) | 21.53% ( -0.79) | 57.1% ( 1.96) |
| Both teams to score 58.77% ( 1.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.6% ( 2.16) | 39.4% ( -2.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.26% ( 2.22) | 61.74% ( -2.22) |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.05% ( 0.15) | 31.95% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.59% ( 0.17) | 68.41% ( -0.17) |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.36% ( 1.35) | 13.64% ( -1.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.2% ( 2.63) | 40.8% ( -2.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 2-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.24) 1-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.5)2-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.27)3-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.54% Total : 21.36% | 1-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.47) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.45)3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.53% | 1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.45)0-2 @ 8.65% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 6.55% ( 0.32)0-3 @ 5.74% ( 0.26)2-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.2)1-4 @ 3.27% ( 0.31)0-4 @ 2.86% ( 0.26)2-4 @ 1.86% ( 0.18)1-5 @ 1.3% ( 0.18)0-5 @ 1.14% ( 0.15)Other @ 3.44% Total : 57.1% |
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