SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 46.26%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Tigre had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for a Tigre win it was 0-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Godoy Cruz in this match.
| Result | ||
| Godoy Cruz | Draw | Tigre |
46.26% ( -0.58) | 29.24% ( 0.03) | 24.5% ( 0.56) |
| Both teams to score 40.1% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.38% ( 0.23) | 65.62% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.68% ( 0.16) | 84.32% ( -0.16) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.37% ( -0.19) | 28.63% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.56% ( -0.24) | 64.44% ( 0.24) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.18% ( 0.67) | 43.82% ( -0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.03% ( 0.55) | 79.98% ( -0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Godoy Cruz | Draw | Tigre |
| 1-0 @ 15.69% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.19)2-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.47% Total : 46.26% | 1-1 @ 12.94% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 12.54% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.41% Total : 29.23% | 0-1 @ 10.35% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.97% Total : 24.5% |
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