SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 42.36%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 27.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 2-1 (7.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.26%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tigre | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
42.36% ( -1.26) | 29.69% ( 0.07) | 27.94% ( 1.19) |
| Both teams to score 41.2% ( 0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.6% ( 0.26) | 65.39% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.83% ( 0.18) | 84.16% ( -0.18) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.35% ( -0.58) | 30.65% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.1% ( -0.69) | 66.89% ( 0.68) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.4% ( 1.18) | 40.59% ( -1.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.8% ( 1.04) | 77.19% ( -1.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tigre | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 1-0 @ 14.71% ( -0.38) 2-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.37)2-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.26% Total : 42.36% | 1-1 @ 13.26% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 12.44% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.45% Total : 29.68% | 0-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.27)1-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.31% Total : 27.94% |
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