SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 54.35%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Gomel had a probability of 21.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.18%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Gomel win it was 1-0 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gomel | Draw | BATE Borisov |
21.33% ( -0.09) | 24.32% ( -0.04) | 54.35% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 49.66% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.54% ( 0.06) | 51.46% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.73% ( 0.05) | 73.27% ( -0.05) |
| Gomel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.19% ( -0.06) | 38.81% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.45% ( -0.06) | 75.54% ( 0.06) |
| BATE Borisov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.15% ( 0.07) | 18.85% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.7% ( 0.13) | 50.3% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gomel | Draw | BATE Borisov |
| 1-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.46% Total : 21.33% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0)Other @ 0.89% Total : 24.31% | 0-1 @ 12.2% 0-2 @ 10.18% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 9.64% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 5.67% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 5.36% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.36% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.24% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 3.09% Total : 54.34% |
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