SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 61.8%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 16.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Naftan win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gomel would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gomel | Draw | Naftan |
61.8% ( -0.33) | 21.73% ( 0.11) | 16.47% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 49.24% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.28% ( -0.07) | 47.72% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.09% ( -0.07) | 69.91% ( 0.07) |
| Gomel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.09% ( -0.13) | 14.91% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.72% ( -0.25) | 43.28% ( 0.25) |
| Naftan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.87% ( 0.25) | 42.14% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.45% ( 0.21) | 78.55% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gomel | Draw | Naftan |
| 1-0 @ 11.95% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11.37% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.36% Total : 61.79% | 1-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.86% Total : 21.72% | 0-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.72% Total : 16.47% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
