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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitebsk win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Gomel had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitebsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Gomel win was 1-0 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gomel | Draw | Vitebsk |
32.58% ( -0.12) | 26.92% ( 0.05) | 40.5% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 50.62% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.5% ( -0.21) | 54.5% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.15% ( -0.18) | 75.85% ( 0.17) |
| Gomel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.8% ( -0.19) | 31.2% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.46% ( -0.22) | 67.54% ( 0.22) |
| Vitebsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.57% ( -0.06) | 26.42% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.41% ( -0.07) | 61.59% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gomel | Draw | Vitebsk |
| 1-0 @ 9.6% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.96% Total : 32.58% | 1-1 @ 12.78% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.92% | 0-1 @ 10.97% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.51% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 2.18% Total : 40.5% |
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