SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitebsk win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Gomel had a probability of 35.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitebsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Gomel win was 1-0 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gomel | Draw | Vitebsk |
35.84% ( 1.15) | 26.57% ( -0.15) | 37.6% ( -1) |
| Both teams to score 52.31% ( 0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.4% ( 0.7) | 52.6% ( -0.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.74% ( 0.6) | 74.26% ( -0.6) |
| Gomel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.81% ( 1.05) | 28.19% ( -1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.12% ( 1.31) | 63.88% ( -1.31) |
| Vitebsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.84% ( -0.24) | 27.16% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.44% ( -0.31) | 62.56% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gomel | Draw | Vitebsk |
| 1-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.77% Total : 35.84% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.56% | 0-1 @ 9.98% ( -0.34) 1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.27)1-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.12% Total : 37.6% |
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