Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitebsk win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Gomel had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitebsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Gomel win was 0-1 (10.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
