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Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 8
Sep 17, 2023 at 4pm UK
SRC Velika Gorica

Gorica
2 - 1
Hajduk Split

Stiglec (86'), Matej Juric (90+2')
Prsir (64'), Raspopovic (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sarlija (62')
Sarlija (78')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Gorica and Hajduk Split.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rudes 0-2 Gorica
Saturday, September 2 at 6pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Hajduk Split 0-1 Istra 1961
Saturday, September 2 at 8.05pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 50.31%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 23.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.01%) and 1-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Gorica win it was 1-0 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
GoricaDrawHajduk Split
23.28% (0.418 0.42) 26.4% (0.254 0.25) 50.31% (-0.673 -0.67)
Both teams to score 46.08% (-0.247 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.62% (-0.554 -0.55)57.38% (0.555 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.8% (-0.444 -0.44)78.2% (0.443 0.44)
Gorica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.76% (0.092999999999996 0.09)40.24% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.13% (0.082000000000001 0.08)76.87% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)
Hajduk Split Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.1% (-0.53100000000001 -0.53)22.9% (0.532 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.34% (-0.78899999999999 -0.79)56.66% (0.78899999999999 0.79)
Score Analysis
    Gorica 23.29%
    Hajduk Split 50.31%
    Draw 26.4%
GoricaDrawHajduk Split
1-0 @ 8.39% (0.197 0.2)
2-1 @ 5.63% (0.058 0.06)
2-0 @ 3.82% (0.099 0.1)
3-1 @ 1.71% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.26% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.16% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 23.29%
1-1 @ 12.36% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 9.21% (0.193 0.19)
2-2 @ 4.15% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 26.4%
0-1 @ 13.58% (0.08 0.08)
0-2 @ 10.01% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 9.11% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
0-3 @ 4.92% (-0.131 -0.13)
1-3 @ 4.48% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.81% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.65% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 50.31%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Rudes 0-2 Gorica
Saturday, September 2 at 6pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 2-2 Slaven Koprivnica
Friday, August 25 at 7pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Osijek 1-0 Gorica
Sunday, August 20 at 8pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 0-0 Gorica
Saturday, August 5 at 8pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 1-0 NK Lokomotiva
Saturday, July 29 at 5.45pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 1-1 Varazdin
Sunday, July 23 at 5.45pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Hajduk Split 0-1 Istra 1961
Saturday, September 2 at 8.05pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 1-2 Hajduk Split
Saturday, August 26 at 6pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rudes 0-2 Hajduk Split
Sunday, August 20 at 5.50pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: PAOK 3-0 Hajduk Split
Thursday, August 17 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Hajduk Split 3-0 Slaven Koprivnica
Sunday, August 13 at 8.05pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Hajduk Split 0-0 PAOK
Thursday, August 10 at 8pm in Europa Conference League


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