SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 50.31%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 23.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.01%) and 1-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Gorica win it was 1-0 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gorica | Draw | Hajduk Split |
23.28% ( 0.42) | 26.4% ( 0.25) | 50.31% ( -0.67) |
| Both teams to score 46.08% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.62% ( -0.55) | 57.38% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.8% ( -0.44) | 78.2% ( 0.44) |
| Gorica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.76% ( 0.09) | 40.24% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.13% ( 0.08) | 76.87% ( -0.08) |
| Hajduk Split Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.1% ( -0.53) | 22.9% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.34% ( -0.79) | 56.66% ( 0.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gorica | Draw | Hajduk Split |
| 1-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.26% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.32% Total : 23.29% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.67% Total : 26.4% | 0-1 @ 13.58% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 10.01% ( -0.1)1-2 @ 9.11% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 4.92% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 4.48% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.71% Total : 50.31% |
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