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Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 6
Aug 26, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stadion Andelko Herjavec

Varazdin
1 - 2
Hajduk Split

Belcar (36')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Krovinovic (29'), Dajaku (86')
Sigur (60')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between NK Varazdin and Hajduk Split.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Varazdin 2-0 Rudes
Saturday, August 12 at 7pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rudes 0-2 Hajduk Split
Sunday, August 20 at 5.50pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for NK Varazdin had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest NK Varazdin win was 1-0 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hajduk Split would win this match.

Result
NK VarazdinDrawHajduk Split
30.74% (0.057000000000002 0.06) 26.78% (0.012 0.01) 42.47% (-0.067 -0.07)
Both teams to score 50.37% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.49% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)54.51% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.14% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)75.86% (0.029000000000011 0.03)
NK Varazdin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.51% (0.025000000000006 0.03)32.49% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.98% (0.028000000000002 0.03)69.02% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Hajduk Split Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.61% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)25.39% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.81% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)60.19% (0.068000000000005 0.07)
Score Analysis
    NK Varazdin 30.74%
    Hajduk Split 42.47%
    Draw 26.78%
NK VarazdinDrawHajduk Split
1-0 @ 9.27% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.15% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.21% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.68% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 1.95% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 30.74%
1-1 @ 12.71% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.78%
0-1 @ 11.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.71% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.75% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.98% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.54% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.37% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.21% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 42.47%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Varazdin 2-0 Rudes
Saturday, August 12 at 7pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 3-3 Varazdin
Friday, August 4 at 7pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 2-2 Slaven Koprivnica
Friday, July 28 at 7pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 1-1 Varazdin
Sunday, July 23 at 5.45pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rudes 0-2 Hajduk Split
Sunday, August 20 at 5.50pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: PAOK 3-0 Hajduk Split
Thursday, August 17 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Hajduk Split 3-0 Slaven Koprivnica
Sunday, August 13 at 8.05pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Hajduk Split 0-0 PAOK
Thursday, August 10 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Hajduk Split 1-0 Rijeka
Sunday, July 30 at 8.05pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 1-2 Hajduk Split
Friday, July 21 at 7pm in Croatian 1. HNL


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