SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 60.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 17.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.38%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Gorica win it was 1-0 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HNK Rijeka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gorica | Draw | HNK Rijeka |
17.15% ( 0.03) | 22.45% ( 0.06) | 60.4% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 48.41% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.44% ( -0.18) | 49.56% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.41% ( -0.16) | 71.58% ( 0.16) |
| Gorica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.62% ( -0.06) | 42.37% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.24% ( -0.05) | 78.76% ( 0.05) |
| HNK Rijeka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.01% ( -0.09) | 15.99% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.7% ( -0.17) | 45.29% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gorica | Draw | HNK Rijeka |
| 1-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 4.58% ( 0)2-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.31% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 1.75% Total : 17.15% | 1-1 @ 10.66% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.81% Total : 22.44% | 0-1 @ 12.41% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 11.38% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 9.78% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 6.96% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.98% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 3.19% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.74% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.04% Total : 60.38% |
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