SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 61.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 14.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.32%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Gorica win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hajduk Split would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hajduk Split | Draw | Gorica |
61.41% ( 0.14) | 23.79% ( 0.02) | 14.81% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 40.07% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.84% ( -0.32) | 58.16% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.18% ( -0.25) | 78.82% ( 0.26) |
| Hajduk Split Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.27% ( -0.07) | 18.72% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.91% ( -0.11) | 50.09% ( 0.12) |
| Gorica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.3% ( -0.43) | 50.7% ( 0.44) |
