SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gorica win with a probability of 54.52%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 21.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gorica win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a NK Istra 1961 win it was 0-1 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gorica | Draw | NK Istra 1961 |
54.52% ( -0.16) | 24.42% ( 0.04) | 21.06% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 48.98% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.83% ( -0.02) | 52.17% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.12% ( -0.01) | 73.88% ( 0.01) |
| Gorica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.95% ( -0.07) | 19.05% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.36% ( -0.11) | 50.64% ( 0.12) |
| NK Istra 1961 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.51% ( 0.12) | 39.49% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.82% ( 0.11) | 76.18% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gorica | Draw | NK Istra 1961 |
| 1-0 @ 12.47% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.34% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 3.01% Total : 54.52% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.52% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.84% Total : 24.41% | 0-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.38% Total : 21.06% |
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