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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 47.94%. A win for Grasshopper Zurich had a probability of 27.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Grasshopper Zurich win was 2-1 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Grasshopper Zurich | Draw | Lugano |
27.94% ( -0.11) | 24.12% ( -0.03) | 47.94% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 57.26% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.24% ( 0.05) | 44.75% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.88% ( 0.05) | 67.11% ( -0.05) |
| Grasshopper Zurich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.5% ( -0.06) | 29.49% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.49% ( -0.07) | 65.5% ( 0.06) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.21% ( 0.07) | 18.78% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.8% ( 0.12) | 50.19% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Grasshopper Zurich | Draw | Lugano |
| 2-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.3% Total : 27.94% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.12% | 1-2 @ 9.46% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.26% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.27% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.32% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.2% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.32% Total : 47.94% |
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