SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 48.79%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 26.16% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Motherwell |
48.79% ( -0) | 25.04% | 26.16% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 52.78% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.02% ( 0.01) | 49.97% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.04% ( 0.01) | 71.96% ( -0) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.49% ( 0) | 20.5% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47% ( 0) | 52.99% |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.39% ( 0) | 33.61% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.75% ( 0.01) | 70.25% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Motherwell |
| 1-0 @ 10.91% 2-1 @ 9.43% 2-0 @ 8.65% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.98% 3-0 @ 4.57% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.97% 4-0 @ 1.81% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.66% Total : 48.79% | 1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 6.89% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.04% | 0-1 @ 7.51% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.1% 1-3 @ 2.36% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.34% Total : 26.16% |
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