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ML
Scottish Cup | Fourth Round
Apr 16, 2021 at 7pm UK
Fir Park
GM

Motherwell
1 - 1
Morton

Motherwell win 5-3 on penalties
O'Donnell (120+1')
Lamie (73')
FT
(aet)
Fjortoft (120+3')
Jacobs (36'), Fjortoft (120')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 51.64%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 23.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (7.02%).

Result
MotherwellDrawGreenock Morton
51.64%24.44%23.92%
Both teams to score 52.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.63%49.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.58%71.42%
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.9%19.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.28%50.73%
Greenock Morton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.81%35.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.05%71.95%
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 51.63%
    Greenock Morton 23.92%
    Draw 24.44%
MotherwellDrawGreenock Morton
1-0 @ 11.12%
2-1 @ 9.62%
2-0 @ 9.21%
3-1 @ 5.31%
3-0 @ 5.08%
3-2 @ 2.77%
4-1 @ 2.2%
4-0 @ 2.1%
4-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 51.63%
1-1 @ 11.62%
0-0 @ 6.72%
2-2 @ 5.02%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.44%
0-1 @ 7.02%
1-2 @ 6.07%
0-2 @ 3.67%
1-3 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 1.75%
0-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 23.92%

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