While classed as a 'home' game for Gremio, referring to this as a neutral venue is perhaps a more accurate description. Palmeiras are in good form this season and have the league's best away record as things stand. We feel Verdao will take the points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Gremio win was 1-0 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Gremio	Draw	Palmeiras
30.66% ( -0.42)	27.39% ( -0.38)	41.95% ( 0.8)

Both teams to score 48.53% (

0.94)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.16% (

1.26)

56.84% (

-1.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.23% (

77.76% (

-1)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.24% (

0.36)

33.76% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.58% (

0.39)

70.42% (

-0.39)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.27% (

1.02)

26.73% (

-1.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38% (

1.33)

62% (

-1.33)

Score Analysis

Gremio 30.66%

Palmeiras 41.94%

Draw 27.38%

Gremio	Draw	Palmeiras
1-0 @ 9.8% ( -0.38) 2-1 @ 7.02% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 2.54% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.38% Total : 30.66%	1-1 @ 12.92% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.45) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.38%	0-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 7.86% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.04% Total : 41.94%