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World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round
Jun 9, 2024 at 10pm UK
Kirani James National Stadium
CR

Grenada
0 - 3
Costa Rica


Patrick Gabriel (1'), Ettienne (73'), Harrack (81')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ugalde (9'), Zamora (34'), Taylor (70')
Calvo (73')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Trin. & Tob. 2-2 Grenada
Thursday, June 6 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Costa Rica 4-0 Saint Kitts
Friday, June 7 at 3.30am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

We said: Grenada 1-3 Costa Rica

There is a big difference between competing and winning, and for as well as Grenada have played at times when facing experienced CONCACAF opponents, they have lacked a killer instinct, which we believe will hurt them against a vastly improved Costa Rican side under Alfaro. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 62.83%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Grenada had a probability of 17.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.8%) and 0-1 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for a Grenada win it was 2-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Costa Rica would win this match.

Result
GrenadaDrawCosta Rica
17.75% (-0.512 -0.51) 19.43% (-0.304 -0.3) 62.83% (0.817 0.82)
Both teams to score 59.93% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.04% (0.566 0.57)34.96% (-0.565 -0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.06% (0.628 0.63)56.94% (-0.628 -0.63)
Grenada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.08% (-0.20099999999999 -0.2)32.93% (0.202 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.5% (-0.225 -0.22)69.5% (0.226 0.23)
Costa Rica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.34% (0.378 0.38)10.66% (-0.377 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.48% (0.836 0.84)34.53% (-0.835 -0.84)
Score Analysis
    Grenada 17.75%
    Costa Rica 62.83%
    Draw 19.43%
GrenadaDrawCosta Rica
2-1 @ 4.85% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-0 @ 3.9% (-0.135 -0.14)
2-0 @ 2.17% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.8% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 17.75%
1-1 @ 8.73% (-0.162 -0.16)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.51% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 19.43%
1-2 @ 9.77% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 8.8% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.86% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-3 @ 7.29% (0.093 0.09)
0-3 @ 6.56% (0.12 0.12)
1-4 @ 4.08% (0.114 0.11)
2-3 @ 4.05% (0.029 0.03)
0-4 @ 3.67% (0.123 0.12)
2-4 @ 2.27% (0.051 0.05)
1-5 @ 1.83% (0.079 0.08)
0-5 @ 1.64% (0.079 0.08)
2-5 @ 1.02% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 4%
Total : 62.83%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Trin. & Tob. 2-2 Grenada
Thursday, June 6 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Grenada 0-3 St Vincent & Gr.
Sunday, May 26 at 9pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Suriname 4-0 Grenada
Monday, October 16 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Grenada 1-4 Jamaica
Friday, October 13 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Honduras 4-0 Grenada
Wednesday, September 13 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Grenada 1-1 Suriname
Saturday, September 9 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Costa Rica 4-0 Saint Kitts
Friday, June 7 at 3.30am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Costa Rica 0-0 Uruguay
Saturday, June 1 at 3am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Argentina 3-1 Costa Rica
Wednesday, March 27 at 2.50am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Costa Rica 3-1 Honduras
Saturday, March 23 at 11.15pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Costa Rica 2-0 El Salvador
Saturday, February 3 at 2am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Panama 3-1 Costa Rica
Tuesday, November 21 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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