SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Costa Rica | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Martinique | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | El Salvador | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 84.85%. A draw had a probability of 10.5% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 4.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.62%) and 4-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.02%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 0-1 (1.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Argentina | Draw | Costa Rica |
84.85% ( -0.27) | 10.55% ( 0.19) | 4.6% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 41.33% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.19% ( -0.64) | 31.81% ( 0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.66% ( -0.75) | 53.34% ( 0.75) |
| Argentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.72% ( -0.16) | 5.28% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 79.2% ( -0.48) | 20.8% ( 0.48) |
| Costa Rica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.63% ( -0.2) | 56.37% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.32% ( -0.11) | 88.68% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentina | Draw | Costa Rica |
| 2-0 @ 12.87% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 12.62% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.07)1-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.21)2-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 5.32% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.08)6-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.03)7-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.86% Total : 84.85% | 1-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 2.12% ( 0)Other @ 0.44% Total : 10.55% | 0-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.46% Total : 4.6% |
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