SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honduras win with a probability of 64.48%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Grenada had a probability of 14.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honduras win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Grenada win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Honduras would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Honduras | Draw | Grenada |
64.48% ( 0.05) | 20.83% ( 0.01) | 14.69% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 48% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.76% ( -0.16) | 47.24% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.53% ( -0.15) | 69.47% ( 0.16) |
| Honduras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.09% ( -0.04) | 13.92% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.64% ( -0.07) | 41.37% ( 0.08) |
| Grenada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.76% ( -0.18) | 44.24% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.68% ( -0.15) | 80.32% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Honduras | Draw | Grenada |
| 1-0 @ 12.14% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 11.97% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.42% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.88% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.53% 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.58% Total : 64.48% | 1-1 @ 9.9% ( 0) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.79% Total : 20.83% | 0-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.41% Total : 14.69% |
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