Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greuther Furth win with a probability of 50.26%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greuther Furth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.28%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
-0.06) 
0.01) 
