Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greuther Furth win with a probability of 46.47%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greuther Furth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.16%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greuther Furth would win this match.