SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greuther Furth win with a probability of 46.47%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greuther Furth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.16%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greuther Furth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Greuther Furth | Draw | Magdeburg |
46.47% ( 0.7) | 22.91% ( 0.05) | 30.61% ( -0.75) |
| Both teams to score 63.38% ( -0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.5% ( -0.63) | 37.49% ( 0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.28% ( -0.67) | 59.71% ( 0.67) |
| Greuther Furth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.45% ( 0.02) | 16.54% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.69% ( 0.04) | 46.3% ( -0.04) |
| Magdeburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.94% ( -0.75) | 24.05% ( 0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.67% ( -1.08) | 58.33% ( 1.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greuther Furth | Draw | Magdeburg |
| 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.22)2-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 5.5% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.06)Other @ 4.43% Total : 46.47% | 1-1 @ 10.2% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.91% | 1-2 @ 7.27% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.82% Total : 30.61% |
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