SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 77.32%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for TOP Oss had a probability of 7.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.04%) and 1-0 (10.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.07%), while for a TOP Oss win it was 0-1 (2.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | TOP Oss |
77.32% ( -4.78) | 14.87% ( 2.54) | 7.81% ( 2.23) |
| Both teams to score 44.11% ( 3.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.68% ( -3.12) | 39.31% ( 3.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.35% ( -3.34) | 61.65% ( 3.33) |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.63% ( -1.71) | 8.37% ( 1.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.87% ( -4.43) | 29.13% ( 4.42) |
| TOP Oss Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.14% ( 4.22) | 51.85% ( -4.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.09% ( 2.6) | 85.91% ( -2.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | TOP Oss |
| 2-0 @ 13.35% ( -0.35) 3-0 @ 11.04% ( -1.33)1-0 @ 10.76% ( 0.65)2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.84)3-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 6.85% ( -1.53)4-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.35)5-0 @ 3.4% ( -1.14)3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.31)5-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.4)4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.08)6-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.65)6-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.26)Other @ 2.99% Total : 77.31% | 1-1 @ 7.07% ( 1.22) 0-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.6)2-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.59)Other @ 0.58% Total : 14.87% | 0-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.69) 1-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.63)0-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.31)Other @ 1.7% Total : 7.81% |
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