Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for TOP Oss had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest TOP Oss win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.
0.11) 
-0.01) 
