SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 77.93%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.49%) and 1-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.64%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 0-1 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | Jong FC Utrecht |
77.93% ( 0.12) | 14.07% ( -0.07) | 8% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 48.32% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.52% ( 0.17) | 34.47% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.6% ( 0.19) | 56.4% ( -0.19) |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.86% ( 0.06) | 7.14% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.01% ( 0.16) | 25.98% ( -0.16) |
| Jong FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.03% ( 0.01) | 47.96% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.79% ( 0.01) | 83.21% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | Jong FC Utrecht |
| 2-0 @ 11.92% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.02)6-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.15% Total : 77.91% | 1-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.22% ( -0)Other @ 0.79% Total : 14.07% | 0-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.12% Total : 8% |
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