Guadalajara are in the last chance saloon to save their cup campaign, but knowing that a draw would suffice makes their job a tad easier here.
We can see the Mexican outfit scraping a share of the spoils to make it through to the Leagues Cup knockout stages.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
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