SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| CD Guadalajara | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
45.06% ( -0.08) | 23.85% ( 0.01) | 31.09% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 60.24% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.26% ( 0.01) | 41.73% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.86% ( 0) | 64.13% ( -0.01) |
| CD Guadalajara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.23% ( -0.03) | 18.76% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.84% ( -0.05) | 50.16% ( 0.05) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.15% ( 0.05) | 25.84% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.18% ( 0.07) | 60.81% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| CD Guadalajara | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
| 2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0)Other @ 3.42% Total : 45.06% | 1-1 @ 10.97% 2-2 @ 6.21% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.85% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.84% | 1-2 @ 7.43% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.42% Total : 31.09% |
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