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FD
Major League Soccer
Jul 14, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Minato Soccer Stadium
LG

Dallas
2 - 0
LA Galaxy

Musa (28'), Farrington (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kansas 3-2 Dallas
Monday, July 8 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-1 Minnesota Utd
Monday, July 8 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Dallas 2-2 Los Angeles Galaxy

The last five meetings between Dallas and Los Angeles Galaxy have produced a combined 18 goals and we anticipate another end-to-end affair at the Toyota Stadium. While the Toros are still reeling from their cup defeat, they have a solid home record over LA Galaxy, and we predict that they will hold out for a share of the spoils here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.91%) and 0-2 (5.58%). The likeliest Dallas win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
DallasDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
36.48% (0.165 0.16) 23.61% (0.012 0.01) 39.91% (-0.177 -0.18)
Both teams to score 62.88% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)39% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.68% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)61.32% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.48% (0.066999999999993 0.07)21.52% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.42% (0.103 0.1)54.58% (-0.101 -0.1)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.13% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)19.87% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.02% (-0.158 -0.16)51.98% (0.159 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Dallas 36.48%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 39.91%
    Draw 23.6%
DallasDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 8.15% (0.023 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.57% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.05% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.18% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.37% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.58% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.6% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 36.48%
1-1 @ 10.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.59% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 4.28% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.82% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.6%
1-2 @ 8.58% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.58% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.62% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.55% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.01% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.87% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.43% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.22% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 39.91%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Kansas 3-2 Dallas
Monday, July 8 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 3-2 Portland
Friday, July 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 0-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, June 30 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 3-2 Dallas
Sunday, June 23 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 5-3 Minnesota Utd
Thursday, June 20 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 2-0 St Louis City
Sunday, June 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-1 Minnesota Utd
Monday, July 8 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-2 Los Angeles
Friday, July 5 at 3.40am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 0-3 LA Galaxy
Sunday, June 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 0-1 LA Galaxy
Sunday, June 23 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-0 NY City
Thursday, June 20 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 4-2 Kansas
Sunday, June 16 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer


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