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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 51.72%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.35%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Portland Timbers |
51.72% ( -1.53) | 21.03% ( 0.04) | 27.25% ( 1.49) |
| Both teams to score 67.91% ( 1.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.48% ( 1.15) | 30.52% ( -1.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.18% ( 1.36) | 51.82% ( -1.37) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.74% ( -0.05) | 12.26% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62% ( -0.11) | 38% ( 0.11) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.4% ( 1.59) | 22.59% ( -1.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.8% ( 2.31) | 56.2% ( -2.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Portland Timbers |
| 2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.43)1-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.4)3-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.31)4-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.17)5-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.04)4-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.08)5-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.74% Total : 51.72% | 1-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 6.75% ( 0.17)0-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.52% Total : 21.03% | 1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.11)2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.14)1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.14)Other @ 3.14% Total : 27.25% |
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