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Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Jul 21, 2024 at 12.05am UK
Estadio Omnilife

Guadalajara
2 - 0
Mazatlan

Cowell (51'), Gonzalez (79')
Orozco (45+6'), Alvarado (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Del Prete (10'), Joel Barcenas (41'), Franco Zambrano (78'), Colula (90+2')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between CD Guadalajara and Mazatlan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Queretaro 0-2 Guadalajara
Wednesday, July 17 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 3-0 Mazatlan
Thursday, July 18 at 4am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 58.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 18.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.

Result
CD GuadalajaraDrawMazatlan
58.44% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12) 23.25% (0.054000000000002 0.05) 18.31% (0.064 0.06)
Both teams to score 48.14% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.95% (-0.119 -0.12)51.04% (0.11799999999999 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.09% (-0.104 -0.1)72.9% (0.104 0.1)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.81% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)17.19% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.55% (-0.147 -0.15)47.45% (0.147 0.15)
Mazatlan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.14% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)41.86% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)78.31% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    CD Guadalajara 58.42%
    Mazatlan 18.31%
    Draw 23.25%
CD GuadalajaraDrawMazatlan
1-0 @ 12.66% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 11.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.55% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.7% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.88% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.51% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.02% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 58.42%
1-1 @ 11.03% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.19% (0.034 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 23.25%
0-1 @ 6.26% (0.03 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.8% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.73% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.39% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 18.31%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Queretaro 0-2 Guadalajara
Wednesday, July 17 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 4-2 Guadalajara
Saturday, July 13 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 0-0 Toluca
Sunday, July 7 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 1-0 Guadalajara
Sunday, May 19 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 0-0 America
Thursday, May 16 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 0-0 Guadalajara
Sunday, May 12 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 3-0 Mazatlan
Thursday, July 18 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 2-2 Atletico San Luis
Saturday, July 13 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 1-0 Mazatlan
Sunday, July 7 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 1-1 Mazatlan
Sunday, April 28 at 2.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 0-2 Juarez
Saturday, April 20 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Queretaro 0-2 Mazatlan
Saturday, April 13 at 2.06am in Liga MX


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