Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 60.54%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 15.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.1%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.