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Liga MX | Gameweek 17
Apr 30, 2023 at 2.05am UK
Estadio AKRON

Guadalajara
4 - 1
Mazatlan

Alfonso Guzman Guzman (12'), Vega (21'), Beltran (56'), Brizuela (75')
Orozco (29'), Sepulveda (64')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Montano (23')
Omar Romano (30'), Bello (36'), Orona (50'), Vidrio (59'), Sansores (64'), Meraz (80')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between CD Guadalajara and Mazatlan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guadalajara 2-1 Cruz Azul
Sunday, April 23 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 0-2 Monterrey
Saturday, April 22 at 2.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 66.9%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 13.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.54%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.

Result
CD GuadalajaraDrawMazatlan
66.9% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 19.64% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 13.46% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
Both teams to score 48.57% (0.303 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.23% (0.312 0.31)44.76% (-0.316 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.88% (0.302 0.3)67.12% (-0.304 -0.3)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.55% (0.085000000000008 0.09)12.45% (-0.087 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.62% (0.18 0.18)38.38% (-0.183 -0.18)
Mazatlan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.47% (0.29 0.29)44.53% (-0.293 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.45% (0.234 0.23)80.55% (-0.23700000000001 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    CD Guadalajara 66.89%
    Mazatlan 13.46%
    Draw 19.64%
CD GuadalajaraDrawMazatlan
2-0 @ 12.03% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-0 @ 11.54% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 8.36% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.76% (0.031999999999999 0.03)
4-0 @ 4.35% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 3.52% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.74% (0.034 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.81% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.47% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 66.89%
1-1 @ 9.34% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.54% (-0.075 -0.08)
2-2 @ 3.94% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 19.64%
0-1 @ 4.48% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.78% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.81% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.06% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.02% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 13.46%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Guadalajara 2-1 Cruz Azul
Sunday, April 23 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Club Leon 0-2 Guadalajara
Sunday, April 16 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 1-0 Necaxa
Sunday, April 9 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atlas 3-3 Guadalajara
Sunday, April 2 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 2-4 America
Sunday, March 19 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 1-0 Guadalajara
Saturday, March 11 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 0-2 Monterrey
Saturday, April 22 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 1-2 Tijuana
Saturday, April 15 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tigres 1-2 Mazatlan
Sunday, April 9 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 2-1 Mazatlan
Monday, April 3 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 1-2 Club Leon
Saturday, March 25 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 0-1 Necaxa
Saturday, March 18 at 3.05am in Liga MX


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