SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 55.93%. A win for Hacken had a probability of 24.07% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.84%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Hacken win was 2-1 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hacken | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
24.07% ( -0.17) | 20% ( -0.02) | 55.93% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 68.4% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.48% ( -0.07) | 28.52% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.62% ( -0.08) | 49.38% ( 0.08) |
| Hacken Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.39% ( -0.15) | 23.61% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.31% ( -0.22) | 57.69% ( 0.22) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.54% ( 0.03) | 10.45% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.94% ( 0.06) | 34.06% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hacken | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 2-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 3.56% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.8% Total : 24.07% | 1-1 @ 8.05% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.55% Total : 20% | 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.84% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.04)0-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 4.94% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.74% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 3.86% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 2.79% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.67% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 1.26% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.59% Total : 55.93% |
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