SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 59.98%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 19.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.28%) and 0-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 2-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
19.86% ( -4.47) | 20.16% ( -2.06) | 59.98% ( 6.53) |
| Both teams to score 61.31% ( 0.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.03% ( 4.15) | 34.97% ( -4.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.04% ( 4.49) | 56.96% ( -4.48) |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.2% ( -1.53) | 30.79% ( 1.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.93% ( -1.85) | 67.07% ( 1.85) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.59% ( 3.29) | 11.4% ( -3.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.83% ( 6.71) | 36.17% ( -6.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 2-1 @ 5.29% ( -0.94) 1-0 @ 4.14% ( -1.15)2-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.81)3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.47)3-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.37)Other @ 2.71% Total : 19.86% | 1-1 @ 8.98% ( -1.15) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.23)0-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.79)3-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.16% | 1-2 @ 9.75% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.28% ( 0.37)0-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.62)1-3 @ 7.06% ( 0.85)0-3 @ 5.99% ( 0.94)2-3 @ 4.16% ( 0.34)1-4 @ 3.83% ( 0.85)0-4 @ 3.25% ( 0.83)2-4 @ 2.26% ( 0.43)1-5 @ 1.66% ( 0.52)0-5 @ 1.41% ( 0.48)2-5 @ 0.98% ( 0.28)Other @ 3.74% Total : 59.98% |
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