SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hacken win with a probability of 51.36%. A win for Hammarby had a probability of 25.9% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hacken win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Hammarby win was 1-2 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hacken in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hacken | Draw | Hammarby |
51.36% ( 0.16) | 22.74% ( -0.01) | 25.9% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 60.2% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.93% ( -0.11) | 40.06% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.57% ( -0.12) | 62.43% ( 0.12) |
| Hacken Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.26% ( 0.02) | 15.74% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.16% ( 0.03) | 44.84% ( -0.03) |
| Hammarby Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.45% ( -0.18) | 28.55% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.65% ( -0.22) | 64.34% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hacken | Draw | Hammarby |
| 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 3.68% Total : 51.36% | 1-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.74% | 1-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.63% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.48% Total : 25.9% |
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