SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 59.42%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 21.09% and a draw had a probability of 19.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.17%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 1-2 (5.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hamburger SV | Draw | Magdeburg |
59.42% ( -0.22) | 19.48% ( 0.08) | 21.09% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 66.05% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.22% ( -0.17) | 29.78% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.07% ( -0.2) | 50.92% ( 0.2) |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.02% ( -0.1) | 9.98% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.03% ( -0.24) | 32.97% ( 0.24) |
| Magdeburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.37% ( 0.02) | 26.63% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.14% ( 0.03) | 61.86% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamburger SV | Draw | Magdeburg |
| 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.06% ( 0)1-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.76% Total : 59.42% | 1-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 2.09% ( -0)Other @ 0.45% Total : 19.48% | 1-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 2.88% Total : 21.09% |
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