Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 59.44%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 20.52% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.84%) and 1-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 1-2 (5.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hamburger SV | Draw | Magdeburg |
59.44% ( 0.8) | 20.04% ( -0.2) | 20.52% ( -0.6) |
Both teams to score 62.91% ( -0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.61% ( 0.11) | 33.4% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.82% ( 0.13) | 55.18% ( -0.12) |
Hamburger SV Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.93% ( 0.25) | 11.07% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.57% ( 0.54) | 35.43% ( -0.53) |
Magdeburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.74% ( -0.47) | 29.26% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.78% ( -0.58) | 65.22% ( 0.58) |
Score Analysis |
Hamburger SV | Draw | Magdeburg |
2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.06) 5-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.06% Total : 59.44% | 1-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.34% Total : 20.04% | 1-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.08% Total : 20.52% |
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