SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 54.55%. A win for AIK Fotboll had a probability of 22.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest AIK Fotboll win was 1-2 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hammarby in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hammarby | Draw | AIK Fotboll |
54.55% ( -0.09) | 22.69% ( 0.02) | 22.76% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 56.75% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.02% | 42.98% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.62% ( -0) | 65.38% ( 0) |
| Hammarby Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.32% ( -0.03) | 15.68% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.27% ( -0.06) | 44.73% ( 0.06) |
| AIK Fotboll Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.3% ( 0.07) | 32.7% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.75% ( 0.08) | 69.25% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hammarby | Draw | AIK Fotboll |
| 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.5% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.4% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.63% Total : 54.55% | 1-1 @ 10.61% 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.68% | 1-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.73% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 22.76% |
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