SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 49.98%. A win for Mjallby AIF had a probability of 26.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Mjallby AIF win was 1-2 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hammarby | Draw | Mjallby AIF |
49.98% ( -0.04) | 23.63% ( 0) | 26.38% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 57.58% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.26% ( 0.03) | 43.73% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.87% ( 0.03) | 66.12% ( -0.02) |
| Hammarby Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.4% ( -0.01) | 17.6% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.83% ( -0.01) | 48.17% ( 0.02) |
| Mjallby AIF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.88% ( 0.05) | 30.12% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.73% ( 0.06) | 66.26% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hammarby | Draw | Mjallby AIF |
| 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.56% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.34% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.42% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0)Other @ 3.76% Total : 49.98% | 1-1 @ 11.05% 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.3% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.63% | 1-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.36% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0)Other @ 3.1% Total : 26.39% |
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