Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 58.25%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Mjallby AIF had a probability of 19.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Mjallby AIF win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.