SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 67.86%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Varnamo had a probability of 13.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a Varnamo win it was 1-2 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hammarby | Draw | Varnamo |
67.86% ( 0.45) | 18.35% ( -0.23) | 13.79% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 54.07% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62% ( 0.56) | 38% ( -0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.74% ( 0.6) | 60.26% ( -0.6) |
| Hammarby Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.74% ( 0.27) | 10.26% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.38% ( 0.61) | 33.62% ( -0.61) |
| Varnamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.25% ( 0.04) | 39.74% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.58% ( 0.04) | 76.41% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hammarby | Draw | Varnamo |
| 2-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.06)Other @ 4.69% Total : 67.86% | 1-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 18.35% | 1-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.74% Total : 13.79% |
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