SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AIK Fotboll win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AIK Fotboll win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Varnamo | Draw | AIK Fotboll |
31.73% ( -0.35) | 25.79% ( 0.17) | 42.48% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 53.9% ( -0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.85% ( -0.81) | 50.15% ( 0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.89% ( -0.73) | 72.11% ( 0.73) |
| Varnamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.41% ( -0.64) | 29.59% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.38% ( -0.78) | 65.62% ( 0.78) |
| AIK Fotboll Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.55% ( -0.26) | 23.45% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.54% ( -0.38) | 57.46% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Varnamo | Draw | AIK Fotboll |
| 1-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.44% Total : 31.73% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 4.3% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.28% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.01% Total : 42.48% |
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