SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zhejiang Professional win with a probability of 68.07%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 14.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zhejiang Professional win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 3-1 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.91%), while for a Meizhou Hakka win it was 1-2 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zhejiang Professional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
68.07% ( 0.08) | 17.6% ( -0.01) | 14.33% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 58.52% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.96% ( -0.12) | 33.03% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.24% ( -0.14) | 54.76% ( 0.14) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.12% ( -0.01) | 8.88% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.61% ( -0.03) | 30.38% ( 0.04) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.23% ( -0.17) | 35.77% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.45% ( -0.18) | 72.55% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
| 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 7.73% ( -0)1-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 4.68% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.27% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 4.11% Total : 68.07% | 1-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 17.6% | 1-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.68% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.24% Total : 14.33% |
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