SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 69.22%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 11.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.64%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Meizhou Hakka win it was 0-1 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
69.22% ( 0.53) | 19.14% ( 0.06) | 11.65% ( -0.58) |
| Both teams to score 44.83% ( -1.99) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.14% ( -1.68) | 46.86% ( 1.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.88% ( -1.59) | 69.12% ( 1.59) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.59% ( -0.34) | 12.41% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.69% ( -0.72) | 38.31% ( 0.72) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.18% ( -2.07) | 48.82% ( 2.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.17% ( -1.53) | 83.83% ( 1.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
| 2-0 @ 13.19% ( 0.58) 1-0 @ 12.64% ( 0.71)2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.28)3-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.21)5-0 @ 2% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.94% Total : 69.21% | 1-1 @ 9.07% ( -0) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.42)2-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.26)Other @ 0.62% Total : 19.14% | 0-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.49% Total : 11.65% |
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