Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 76.47%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 8.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.31%) and 0-3 (10.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.33%), while for a Meizhou Hakka win it was 1-0 (3.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.