SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zhejiang Professional win with a probability of 63.6%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 17.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zhejiang Professional win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.37%) and 3-1 (7.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.28%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 1-2 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zhejiang Professional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
63.6% ( 0.39) | 18.86% ( -0.01) | 17.54% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 61.65% ( -0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.44% ( -0.65) | 32.56% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.78% ( -0.75) | 54.22% ( 0.75) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.21% ( -0.09) | 9.78% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.47% ( -0.21) | 32.53% ( 0.21) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.33% ( -0.8) | 31.67% ( 0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.92% ( -0.93) | 68.08% ( 0.93) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
| 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.22)3-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.04)4-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.7% Total : 63.6% | 1-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.31% Total : 18.86% | 1-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 3.56% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.22% Total : 17.54% |
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