SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Meizhou Hakka win was 1-0 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Henan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Henan |
28.63% ( 0.54) | 25.26% ( -0.01) | 46.11% ( -0.53) |
| Both teams to score 53.98% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.7% ( 0.36) | 49.29% ( -0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.65% ( 0.32) | 71.35% ( -0.32) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.66% ( 0.59) | 31.33% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.3% ( 0.68) | 67.69% ( -0.68) |
| Henan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.61% ( -0.09) | 21.39% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.62% ( -0.14) | 54.38% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Henan |
| 1-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.96% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.86% Total : 28.63% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 10.33% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 9.25% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 7.97% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 4.76% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.46% Total : 46.11% |
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