SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zhejiang Professional win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Sichuan Jiuniu had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zhejiang Professional win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Sichuan Jiuniu win was 2-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sichuan Jiuniu | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
30.57% ( -5.58) | 23.59% ( -0.54) | 45.83% ( 6.12) |
| Both teams to score 60.88% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.23% ( 0.82) | 40.77% ( -0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.85% ( 0.84) | 63.15% ( -0.84) |
| Sichuan Jiuniu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.3% ( -2.83) | 25.69% ( 2.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.39% ( -4.01) | 60.61% ( 4.01) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.93% ( 3.01) | 18.07% ( -3.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.02% ( 4.91) | 48.98% ( -4.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sichuan Jiuniu | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
| 2-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.83) 1-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.8)2-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.96)3-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.7)3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.29)3-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.64)4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.35)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.19)Other @ 2.45% Total : 30.57% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.59% | 1-2 @ 9.24% ( 0.62) 0-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.44)0-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.95)1-3 @ 5.27% ( 0.79)0-3 @ 3.88% ( 0.84)2-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.28)1-4 @ 2.25% ( 0.51)0-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.48)2-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.25)Other @ 3.7% Total : 45.83% |
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